MLB betting lines and prop bets provided by ClutchBet Sportsbook
Betting the Run Line, Moneyline and Over/Under
- When: Thursday, October 12, 2023 at 8:07 PM ET
- Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- How to Watch on TV: TBS

Run Line | Total | Moneyline | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Braves | -1.5 (+105) | O 8.5 (-102) | -153 | |
Phillies | +1.5 (-125) | U 8.5 (-120) | +130 | |
Pitching Probables: ATL: Strider (R) PHI: Suarez (L) | ||||
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The NLDS resumes Thursday at 8:07 PM ET when the Atlanta Braves visit the Philadelphia Phillies live on TBS from Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies would advance to the NLCS with a Game 4 win while the Braves hope to force a winner-take-all Game 5. Spencer Strider will get the ball for Atlanta while Philadelphia will counter with Ranger Suarez. Sportsbooks favor the Braves (-153) for this one, while the Phillies have +130 odds as underdogs.
Braves vs. Phillies 2023 Key Stats
- The Braves have the No. 1 offense in MLB action scoring 5.8 runs per game (947 total runs).
- The Atlanta Braves average 1.9 home runs per game and have hit a league-best 307 home runs in total.
- Atlanta leads MLB with a .276 batting average.
- The Braves have a league-high .344 on-base percentage.
- Atlanta is the top slugging team in baseball this season with a .501 slugging percentage.
- The Phillies have scored 796 runs this season, which ranks eighth in MLB.
- Philadelphia ranks eighth in Major League Baseball with 220 home runs.
- The Phillies rank eighth in MLB with a .256 team batting average.
- Philadelphia has an OBP of .327 this season, which ranks ninth in MLB.
- Fueled by 540 extra-base hits, the Phillies rank fifth in MLB with a .438 slugging percentage this season.
Braves | Phillies | |
---|---|---|
5.8 | 4.9 | |
1 | 8 | |
4.4 | 4.4 | |
12 | 12 | |
.276 | .256 | |
1 | 8 | |
.245 | .240 | |
14 | 8 | |
307 | 220 | |
1 | 8 | |
187 | 185 | |
11 | 10 |
Braves vs. Phillies Betting The Run Line & Moneyline
- The Braves have compiled a 93-50 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 65% of those games).
- Atlanta has a 68-31 record (winning 68.7% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -153 or shorter.
- The Braves have an implied moneyline win probability of 60.5% in this matchup.
- Atlanta has played in 145 games with set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 86 times (86-59-0).
- The Braves have collected a 73-75-0 record ATS this season (covering 49.3% of the time).
- This season, the Phillies have won 23 out of the 49 games, or 46.9%, in which they’ve been the underdog.
- This season, Philadelphia has won two of its nine games, or 22.2%, when it’s the underdog by at least +130 on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 43.5% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
- Games involving Philadelphia have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 70 of 147 chances this season.
- The Phillies are 71-81-0 against the spread this season.
Spencer Strider (ATL) | Pitcher | Ranger Suárez (PHI) |
---|---|---|
20 – 5 | W/L | 4 – 6 |
186.2 | IP | 125 |
3.86 | ERA | 4.18 |
1.093 | WHIP | 1.416 |
13.5 | K/9 | 8.6 |
2.8 | BB/9 | 3.5 |
Braves Key Hitters
- Ronald Acuna Jr. leads Atlanta with a batting average of .337. He’s also hit 41 home runs with 106 RBI.
- Among all hitters in baseball, Acuna’s home run total places him fifth and his RBI tally ranks him eighth.
- Matt Olson leads Atlanta in home runs (54) and runs batted in (139) this season while batting .283.
- Olson ranks first in home runs and first in RBI in the majors.
- Olson has a batting average of .294 in his last five games and is riding an 11-game hit streak.
- Ozzie Albies has 167 hits this season and a slash line of .280/.336/.513.
- Albies is batting .390 with one homer over the course of his last 10 outings while also on a six-game hitting streak.
- Austin Riley is batting .281 with an OBP of .345 and a slugging percentage of .516 this season.
- Riley enters this game on a five-game hitting streak. In his last five outings he’s hitting .348 with one homer.
Phillies Key Hitters
- Kyle Schwarber has hit a team-high 47 home runs.
- Among all hitters in MLB, Schwarber is second in home runs and 11th in RBI.
- Trea Turner has 35 doubles, five triples, 26 home runs and 45 walks while hitting .266.
- Turner ranks 38th overall in homers and 66th in RBI this year.
- Turner heads into this game on a nine-game hitting streak. In his last 10 games he is hitting .359 with six doubles, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
- Alec Bohm is batting .274 with 31 doubles, 20 home runs and 42 walks.
- Bohm has safely hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .222 with two doubles, three walks and two RBI.
- Bryce Harper is hitting .293 to pace his team.
- Harper enters this game on a three-game hitting streak. In his last five games he is batting .353 with three home runs, five walks and five RBI.
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