MLB betting lines and prop bets provided by ClutchBet Sportsbook
Betting the Run Line, Moneyline and Over/Under
- When: Sunday, April 30, 2023 at 1:35 PM ET
- Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
- How to Watch on TV: NESN

Run Line | Total | Moneyline | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Red Sox | -1.5 (+156) | O 8.5 (-121) | -123 | |
Guardians | +1.5 (-185) | U 8.5 (-104) | +105 | |
Pitching Probables: BOS: Sale (L) CLE: Allen (L) | ||||
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The Boston Red Sox (14-14) and the Cleveland Guardians (13-14) meet in the rubber match of a three-game series on Sunday at 1:35 PM ET. The Red Sox are -123 favorites on the moneyline to win the series over the Guardians (+105). Boston’s Chris Sale and Cleveland’s Logan Allen have been named the starters for this contest.
Red Sox vs. Guardians 2023 Key Stats
- The Red Sox score the third-most runs in baseball (156 total, 5.6 per game).
- The Red Sox are eighth-best in MLB action with 35 total home runs.
- Boston has the seventh-best batting average in the majors (.257).
- The Red Sox are ninth in MLB with a .332 on-base percentage.
- Boston is seventh in MLB with a .432 slugging percentage.
- The Guardians have scored the 24th-most runs in the league this season with 107 (four per game).
- Cleveland’s 17 home runs rank 29th in MLB this season.
- The Guardians’ .236 batting average ranks 21st in the league this season.
- Cleveland has the 19th-ranked on-base percentage in MLB this season (.316).
- The Guardians are 27th in MLB with a slugging percentage of only .360 this season.
Red Sox | Guardians | |
---|---|---|
5.6 | 4 | |
3 | 23 | |
5.4 | 4.4 | |
26 | 13 | |
.257 | .236 | |
7 | 21 | |
.267 | .253 | |
23 | 20 | |
35 | 17 | |
8 | 29 | |
40 | 24 | |
26 | 7 |
Red Sox vs. Guardians Betting The Run Line & Moneyline
- The Red Sox have won four of the five games they were favored on the moneyline this season (80%).
- Boston has played as moneyline favorites of -123 or shorter in only two games this season, which it won both.
- The Red Sox have a 55.2% chance to win this game based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
- Boston has played in 18 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 13 times (13-5-0).
- The Red Sox have put together a 7-11-0 record ATS this season (covering just 38.9% of the time).
- The Guardians have been the underdog in three games this season, and they have failed to win any of those contests.
- Cleveland has played as an underdog of +105 or more twice this season and lost both games.
- The Guardians have a 48.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in five of its 14 opportunities.
- The Guardians are 5-10-0 against the spread in their 15 chances this season.
Chris Sale (BOS) | Pitcher | Logan Allen (CLE) |
---|---|---|
1 – 2 | W/L | 1 – 0 |
23 | IP | 6 |
8.22 | ERA | 1.50 |
1.739 | WHIP | 1.000 |
11.7 | K/9 | 12 |
3.9 | BB/9 | 1.5 |
Red Sox Key Hitters
- Rafael Devers leads Boston in home runs with 10 and runs batted in with 27.
- Devers’ home runs put him second in MLB, and he is third in RBI.
- Alex Verdugo’s batting average of .301 leads all Boston hitters this season.
- Verdugo ranks 101st in home runs and 64th in RBI in the bigs.
- Masataka Yoshida is slashing .274/.367/.452 this season for the Red Sox.
- Yoshida will look to add one more to his nine-game hit streak. Over the course of his last five games, he has a batting average of .421 with one homer.
- Justin Turner has collected 28 hits this season and has an OBP of .369. He’s slugging .375 on the year.
- Turner will look to extend his three-game hitting streak. He’s batting .200 during his last five games.
Guardians Key Hitters
- Jose Ramirez paces the Guardians in home runs (three), runs batted in (17) and has a team-best batting average of .291.
- Ramirez’s home run total ranks 101st in MLB, and he is 32nd in RBI.
- Ramirez has safely hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .412 with two doubles, five walks and an RBI.
- Steven Kwan is batting .280 with three doubles, a triple and 19 walks.
- Among all MLB batters, Kwan ranks 311th in home runs and 111th in RBI.
- Kwan takes a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .429 with a double and three walks.
- Andres Gimenez is batting .250 with seven doubles, two home runs and eight walks.
- Gimenez has hit safely in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .222 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and an RBI.
- Myles Straw has three doubles and 11 walks while hitting .276.
- Straw heads into this game on a three-game hitting streak. In his last five games he is hitting .357 with two walks and an RBI.
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