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Betting the Run Line, Moneyline and Over/Under
- When: Sunday, May 28, 2023 at 2:20 PM ET
- Where: Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois
- How to Watch on TV: MARQ
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| Run Line | Total | Moneyline | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | -1.5 (+127) | O 7.5 (-120) | -169 | |
| Reds | +1.5 (-149) | U 7.5 (-105) | +143 | |
| Pitching Probables: CHC: Smyly (L) CIN: Ashcraft (R) | ||||
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Following a big two-homer game last time out, Jonathan India leads the Cincinnati Reds (23-29) into action as +143 underdogs against the Chicago Cubs (22-29). First pitch from Wrigley Field at 2:20 PM ET on Sunday, live on MARQ. Chicago’s Drew Smyly and Cincinnati’s Graham Ashcraft have been named the starters for this contest.
Cubs vs. Reds 2023 Key Stats
- The Cubs are the 14th-highest scoring team in MLB play averaging 4.6 runs per game (237 total).
- The Cubs average 1.2 home runs per game to rank 11th in MLB action with 63 total home runs.
- Chicago’s .257 batting average ranks 11th in MLB.
- The Cubs are third in baseball with a .335 on-base percentage.
- Chicago ranks 11th in baseball with a .419 slugging percentage.
- The Reds have scored 234 runs (4.5 per game) this season, which ranks 16th in MLB.
- Cincinnati ranks 28th in Major League Baseball with just 40 home runs as a team.
- The Reds’ .255 batting average ranks 13th in the league this season.
- Cincinnati has an on-base percentage of .330 this season, which ranks seventh in baseball.
- Fueled by 143 extra-base hits, the Reds rank 21st in MLB with a .387 slugging percentage this season.
| Cubs | Reds | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.6 | 4.5 | |
| 11 | 13 | |
| 4.5 | 5 | |
| 13 | 25 | |
| .257 | .255 | |
| 11 | 13 | |
| .247 | .267 | |
| 17 | 28 | |
| 63 | 40 | |
| 11 | 28 | |
| 50 | 63 | |
| 4 | 19 |
Cubs vs. Reds Betting The Run Line & Moneyline
- The Cubs have gone 10-11 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 47.6% of those games).
- When playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -169 or shorter, Chicago has a 2-4 record (winning just 33.3% of its games).
- Based on this game’s moneyline, the Cubs have an implied win probability of 62.8%.
- Chicago has played in 37 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 20 times (20-17-0).
- The Cubs have put together a 20-20-0 record ATS this season.
- The Reds have won 15, or 44.1%, of the 34 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
- This season, Cincinnati has won five of its 12 games, or 41.7%, when it’s the underdog by at least +143 on the moneyline.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 41.2% chance of a victory for the Reds.
- So far this season, Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 22 of its 41 games with a total.
- The Reds are 24-18-0 against the spread in their 42 chances this season.
| Drew Smyly (CHC) | Pitcher | Graham Ashcraft (CIN) |
|---|---|---|
| 5 – 1 | W/L | 2 – 3 |
| 55.1 | IP | 53.1 |
| 2.93 | ERA | 5.57 |
| 0.958 | WHIP | 1.481 |
| 8.3 | K/9 | 6.9 |
| 2 | BB/9 | 3.5 |
Cubs Key Hitters
- Nico Hoerner leads Chicago in runs batted in with 25 while batting .293, which is also best on the team.
- Hoerner ranks 207th in homers and 73rd in RBI among all hitters in Major League Baseball.
- Dansby Swanson is batting .264 with an OBP of .361 and a slugging percentage of .421 this season.
- Among all MLB hitters, Swanson is 124th in homers and 93rd in RBI.
- Ian Happ has 51 hits this season and a slash line of .285/.405/.430.
- Seiya Suzuki is batting .287 with an OBP of .380 and a slugging percentage of .493 this season.
Reds Key Hitters
- India paces the Reds with a .291 batting average.
- Among all hitters in MLB, India’s home run total puts him 124th, and his RBI total ranks 81st.
- Spencer Steer has shown off his power as he leads his team with six home runs.
- Steer is 96th among hitters in the majors in home runs, and 93rd in RBI.
- Jake Fraley has racked up a team-best 33 runs batted in.
- TJ Friedl is batting .326 with eight doubles, three triples, three home runs and 10 walks.
- Friedl has hit safely in three straight games. In his last five games he is batting .333 with three doubles and three walks.
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