MLB betting lines and prop bets provided by ClutchBet Sportsbook
Betting the Run Line, Moneyline and Over/Under
- When: Saturday, May 6, 2023 at 2:20 PM ET
- Where: Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois
- How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Run Line | Total | Moneyline | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Cubs | -1.5 (+118) | O 9.5 (-109) | -178 | |
Marlins | +1.5 (-138) | U 9.5 (-116) | +151 | |
Pitching Probables: CHC: Smyly (L) MIA: Hoeing (R) | ||||
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Entering Saturday’s matchup with the Chicago Cubs (16-16), the Miami Marlins (16-17) are on a four-game losing streak. The contest starts at 2:20 PM ET on MLB Network with the Cubs listed as -178 favorites, while the are +151 underdogs who may be heading for a fifth straight defeat. Chicago’s Drew Smyly and Miami’s Bryan Hoeing have been named the starters for this contest.
Cubs vs. Marlins 2023 Key Stats
- The Cubs score the ninth-most runs in baseball (160 total, five per game).
- The Cubs rank ninth-best in MLB play with 41 total home runs.
- Chicago is third in the majors with a .269 batting average.
- The Cubs rank fifth in MLB with an on-base percentage of .340.
- Chicago is sixth in MLB with a .435 slugging percentage.
- The Marlins are among the lowest scoring teams in the league, ranking 29th with just 109 total runs (3.3 per game) this season.
- Miami’s 28 home runs rank 25th in Major League Baseball.
- The Marlins rank 14th in MLB with a .250 team batting average.
- Miami has an on-base percentage of .308 this season, which ranks 23rd in the majors.
- The Marlins rank 23rd in the majors with a .376 team slugging percentage.
Cubs | Marlins | |
---|---|---|
5 | 3.3 | |
9 | 30 | |
3.6 | 5 | |
2 | 22 | |
.269 | .250 | |
3 | 14 | |
.225 | .255 | |
4 | 21 | |
41 | 28 | |
9 | 25 | |
26 | 46 | |
3 | 26 |
Cubs vs. Marlins Betting The Run Line & Moneyline
- The Cubs have won 53.8% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (7-6).
- In games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -178 or shorter, Chicago has a 1-3 record (winning just 25% of its games).
- Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Cubs have an implied win probability of 64%.
- Chicago has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total seven times this season for a 7-14-0 record against the over/under.
- The Cubs have a 13-9-0 record ATS this season (covering 59.1% of the time).
- This season, the Marlins have won six out of the 12 games, or 50%, in which they’ve been the underdog.
- Miami has entered three games this season as the underdog by +151 or more and is 1-2 in those contests.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 39.8% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
- Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in nine of its 20 opportunities.
- The Marlins are 8-13-0 ATS in their 21 games with a spread this season.
Drew Smyly (CHC) | Pitcher | Bryan Hoeing (MIA) |
---|---|---|
3 – 1 | W/L | 0 – 1 |
35 | IP | 8.2 |
2.83 | ERA | 6.23 |
0.914 | WHIP | 1.615 |
7.5 | K/9 | 6.2 |
1.5 | BB/9 | 3.1 |
Cubs Key Hitters
- Nico Hoerner leads Chicago with a .309 batting average.
- Hoerner’s home runs rank him 181st in baseball, and he is 46th in RBI.
- Hoerner enters this game on a two-game hitting streak. During his last five outings, he’s hitting .200.
- Cody Bellinger is batting .297 with an OBP of .365 and a slugging percentage of .568 this season.
- Bellinger ranks 17th in homers and 46th in RBI among all hitters this season.
- Bellinger has a batting average of .300 during his last five outings and is riding a two-game hit streak.
- Ian Happ has collected 33 base hits, an OBP of .426 and a slugging percentage of .491 this season.
- Patrick Wisdom leads Chicago in home runs (11) and runs batted in (21) this season while batting .229.
Marlins Key Hitters
- Luis Arraez has accumulated a team-best batting average of .437.
- In all of the majors, Arraez ranks 249th in homers and 144th in RBI.
- Arraez has safely hit in eight games in a row. In his last 10 games he is hitting .457 with two doubles, five walks and three RBI.
- Jorge Soler has put his power on display as he paces his team with six home runs and 13 RBI.
- Soler ranks 35th in homers and 121st in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
- Jon Berti is batting .271 with four doubles, two home runs and nine walks.
- Berti enters this game on a two-game hitting streak. In his last five games he is hitting .471 with three walks.
- Jazz Chisholm has capitalized on opportunities as he paces his team with 13 runs batted in.
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