MLB betting lines and prop bets provided by ClutchBet Sportsbook
Betting the Run Line, Moneyline and Over/Under
- When: Friday, April 21, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
- Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
- How to Watch on TV: BSGL

Run Line | Total | Moneyline | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Guardians | -1.5 (+162) | O 7.5 (-117) | -129 | |
Marlins | +1.5 (-192) | U 7.5 (-107) | +111 | |
Pitching Probables: CLE: Plesac (R) MIA: Garrett (L) | ||||
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Coming off of a 1-2 series loss to the Tigers, the Cleveland Guardians (10-9) are -129 favorites to pick up the win in Game 1 of a three-game series against the Miami Marlins (10-9). The series begins at Progressive Field, starting on Friday at 7:10 PM ET on BSGL. Cleveland’s Zach Plesac and Miami’s Braxton Garrett have been named the starters for this contest.
Guardians vs. Marlins 2023 Key Stats
- The Guardians have the No. 23 offense in MLB action scoring 4.2 runs per game (80 total runs).
- The Guardians are second-worst in MLB play with 10 home runs.
- Cleveland’s .231 batting average ranks 24th in the majors.
- The Guardians are 18th in baseball with an on-base percentage of .319.
- Cleveland has the fifth-lowest slugging percentage in baseball (.347).
- The Marlins are among the lowest scoring teams in the league, ranking 28th with just 59 total runs (3.1 per game) this season.
- Miami ranks 20th in Major League Baseball with 18 home runs.
- The Marlins’ .249 batting average ranks 15th in the league this season.
- Miami has an on-base percentage of .305 this season, which ranks 23rd in the majors.
- The Marlins are 20th in MLB with a slugging percentage of .383 this season.
Guardians | Marlins | |
---|---|---|
4.2 | 3.1 | |
23 | 29 | |
4.4 | 4.5 | |
13 | 16 | |
.231 | .249 | |
24 | 15 | |
.247 | .235 | |
15 | 9 | |
10 | 18 | |
29 | 20 | |
18 | 20 | |
8 | 10 |
Guardians vs. Marlins Betting The Run Line & Moneyline
- The Guardians are 3-3 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 50% of those games).
- Cleveland has a 3-2 record (winning 60% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -129 or shorter.
- Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Guardians’ implied win probability is 56.3%.
- Cleveland has played in eight games with an over/under set, and have combined with its opponents to go over the total three times (3-5-0).
- The Guardians have a 1-7-0 record against the spread this season (covering just 12.5% of the time).
- The Marlins have won both games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
- Miami has played as an underdog of +111 or more twice this season and won both games.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 47.4% chance to win.
- Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in one of its eight opportunities.
- The Marlins have an ATS record of 4-4-0 in eight games with a spread this season.
Zach Plesac (CLE) | Pitcher | Braxton Garrett (MIA) |
---|---|---|
1 – 0 | W/L | 0 – 0 |
13 | IP | 13.1 |
6.92 | ERA | 3.38 |
1.615 | WHIP | 1.575 |
5.5 | K/9 | 8.8 |
1.4 | BB/9 | 1.4 |
Guardians Key Hitters
- Jose Ramirez leads Cleveland in home runs with two and runs batted in with 12.
- Of all MLB hitters, Ramirez ranks 76th in batting average, 27th in on-base percentage, and 74th in slugging.
- Steven Kwan is batting .247 with an OBP of .367 and a slugging percentage of .301 this season.
- Kwan is 273rd in homers and 69th in RBI this season.
- Andres Gimenez is slashing .278/.358/.389 this season for the Guardians.
- Myles Straw leads Cleveland in batting average (.290) this season.
Marlins Key Hitters
- Luis Arraez has a team-high batting average of .438.
- Arraez’s home run total ranks 176th in MLB, and he is 141st in RBI.
- Arraez enters this matchup on a three-game hitting streak. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with two walks and two RBI.
- Jorge Soler has shown off his power as he paces his team with five home runs and 10 runs batted in.
- Among all major league hitters, Soler is ninth in homers and 69th in RBI.
- Soler enters this matchup on a four-game hitting streak. In his last five games he is batting .429 with two doubles, a home run, four walks and two RBI.
- Garrett Cooper leads the Marlins with 10 runs batted in.
- Cooper has hit safely in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .190 with an RBI.
- Jazz Chisholm has a double, a triple, three home runs and six walks while hitting .235.
- Chisholm takes a three-game hitting streak into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with a home run, two walks and four RBI.
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