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Betting the Run Line, Moneyline and Over/Under
- When: Monday, October 16, 2023 at 4:37 PM ET
- Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
- How to Watch on TV: FOX
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| Run Line | Total | Moneyline | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | – () | O 8.5 (-104) | -123 | |
| Rangers | + () | U 8.5 (-121) | +105 | |
| Pitching Probables: HOU: Valdez (L) TEX: Eovaldi (R) | ||||
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The ALCS continues on Monday when the Houston Astros play host to the Texas Rangers. The Rangers will look to build on their 1-0 lead in the series when the game begins at 4:37 PM ET on FOX. Framber Valdez will get the ball for Houston while Texas will counter with Nathan Eovaldi. Bookmakers favor the Astros (-123) for this one, while the Rangers have +105 odds as underdogs.
Astros vs. Rangers 2023 Key Stats
- The Astros have the No. 5 offense in MLB action scoring 5.1 runs per game (827 total runs).
- The Astros rank seventh-best in baseball with 222 total home runs.
- Houston’s .259 batting average is fourth-best in MLB.
- The Astros are fourth in MLB with a .331 on-base percentage.
- Houston’s .437 slugging percentage ranks sixth-best in MLB.
- The Rangers have scored 881 runs this season, which ranks third in MLB.
- Texas has hit 233 homers this season, which ranks third in the majors.
- The Rangers have a team batting average of .263 this season, which ranks second among MLB teams.
- Texas is among the best teams in baseball at getting on base, ranking third with an OBP of .337.
- Fueled by 577 extra-base hits, the Rangers rank third in MLB with a .452 slugging percentage this season.
| Astros | Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| 5.1 | 5.4 | |
| 5 | 3 | |
| 4.3 | 4.4 | |
| 8 | 12 | |
| .259 | .263 | |
| 4 | 2 | |
| .241 | .245 | |
| 10 | 14 | |
| 222 | 233 | |
| 7 | 3 | |
| 201 | 198 | |
| 22 | 18 |
Astros vs. Rangers Betting The Run Line & Moneyline
- The Astros have won 57 of the 110 games they were favored on the moneyline this season (51.8%).
- Houston has a record of 52-43 when it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -123 or shorter (54.7% winning percentage).
- Based on this game’s moneyline, the Astros’ implied win probability is 55.2%.
- Houston has played in 150 games with an over/under set, and have combined with its opponents to go over the total 78 times (78-72-0).
- The Astros have a 74-77-0 record ATS this season (covering 49% of the time).
- This season, the Rangers have been the underdog 50 times and won 26, or 52%, of those games.
- Texas is 18-16 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +105 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 48.8% chance of a victory for the Rangers.
- Texas and its opponents have hit the over in 78 of its 144 games with a total this season.
- In 154 games with a spread this season, the Rangers are 82-72-0 ATS.
| Framber Valdez (HOU) | Pitcher | Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) |
|---|---|---|
| 12 – 11 | W/L | 12 – 5 |
| 198 | IP | 144 |
| 3.45 | ERA | 3.63 |
| 1.126 | WHIP | 1.139 |
| 9.1 | K/9 | 8.3 |
| 2.6 | BB/9 | 2.9 |
Astros Key Hitters
- Kyle Tucker leads Houston in runs batted in with 112 while batting .284, which is also best on the team.
- Tucker’s home runs put him 30th in MLB, and he ranks third in RBI.
- Alex Bregman has collected 163 hits this season and has an OBP of .363. He’s slugging .441 on the year.
- Bregman ranks 46th in homers and 19th in RBI in the majors.
- Yordan Alvarez’s 31 home runs lead all Houston hitters, and he’s slugging .583.
- Jose Altuve has 112 hits and an OBP of .393 to go with a slugging percentage of .522 this season.
Rangers Key Hitters
- Marcus Semien has 40 doubles, four triples, 29 home runs and 72 walks while batting .276.
- Among all hitters in the majors, Semien ranks 30th in home runs and 16th in RBI.
- Corey Seager is hitting .327 to lead his team.
- Seager currently ranks 16th in home runs and 27th in RBI in the big leagues.
- Seager takes a two-game hitting streak into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .357 with two doubles, a home run, 10 walks and two RBI.
- Adolis Garcia has a team-high 39 home runs and 107 runs batted in.
- Nate Lowe is hitting .262 with 38 doubles, three triples, 17 home runs and 93 walks.
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