MLB betting lines and prop bets provided by ClutchBet Sportsbook
Betting the Run Line, Moneyline and Over/Under
- When: Sunday, May 7, 2023 at 1:40 PM ET
- Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
- How to Watch on TV: BSGL
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| Run Line | Total | Moneyline | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -1.5 (+129) | O 8.5 (+103) | -129 | |
| Guardians | +1.5 (-151) | U 8.5 (-131) | +111 | |
| Pitching Probables: MIN: Ryan (R) CLE: Quantrill (R) | ||||
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The Minnesota Twins (19-15) visit the Cleveland Guardians (15-18) Sunday to close out a three-game series. The Twins are favored (-129) to win the rubber match, which starts at 1:40 PM ET from Progressive Field. Joe Ryan will get the ball for Minnesota while Cleveland will counter with Cal Quantrill.
Twins vs. Guardians 2023 Key Stats
- The Twins have the No. 12 offense in MLB action scoring 4.5 runs per game (152 total runs).
- The Twins are sixth-best in MLB play with 45 total home runs.
- Minnesota has the third-worst batting average in the majors (.224).
- The Twins are 25th in baseball with a .301 on-base percentage.
- Minnesota ranks 16th in MLB, slugging .396.
- The Guardians have scored the 28th-most runs in the league this season with just 120 (3.6 per game).
- Cleveland has hit just 18 homers this season, which ranks last in the majors.
- The Guardians have a team batting average of just .223 this season, which ranks 29th among MLB teams.
- Cleveland has the 24th-ranked on-base percentage in MLB this season (.302).
- The Guardians rank last in the majors with a .332 team slugging percentage.
| Twins | Guardians | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 3.6 | |
| 12 | 28 | |
| 3.6 | 4.2 | |
| 3 | 11 | |
| .224 | .223 | |
| 28 | 29 | |
| .219 | .248 | |
| 2 | 16 | |
| 45 | 18 | |
| 6 | 30 | |
| 31 | 34 | |
| 7 | 11 |
Twins vs. Guardians Betting The Run Line & Moneyline
- The Twins have gone 10-5 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 66.7% of those games).
- When playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -129 or shorter, Minnesota has an 8-4 record (winning 66.7% of its games).
- Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Twins have an implied win probability of 56.3%.
- Minnesota has combined with opponents to go over the total seven times this season for a 7-12-0 record against the over/under.
- The Twins have covered 52.4% of their games this season, going 11-10-0 ATS.
- The Guardians have entered the game as underdogs seven times this season and won once.
- Cleveland has a record of 1-2 when it’s set as an underdog of +111 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The Guardians have a 47.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Games involving Cleveland have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in five of 20 chances this season.
- The Guardians are 7-14-0 against the spread in their 21 chances this season.
| Joe Ryan (MIN) | Pitcher | Cal Quantrill (CLE) |
|---|---|---|
| 5 – 0 | W/L | 1 – 2 |
| 38 | IP | 32.1 |
| 2.37 | ERA | 4.73 |
| 0.763 | WHIP | 1.485 |
| 10.2 | K/9 | 4.7 |
| 1.4 | BB/9 | 2.5 |
Twins Key Hitters
- Byron Buxton leads Minnesota in home runs with eight, runs batted in with 19 and his batting average of .246 is also best on his team.
- Buxton ranks 12th in baseball in home runs, and 38th in RBI.
- Carlos Correa is batting .200 with an OBP of .279 and a slugging percentage of .391 this season.
- Of all MLB hitters, Correa is 60th in homers and 83rd in RBI.
- Max Kepler has 19 hits this season and a slash line of .235/.326/.469.
- Kepler will look to add one more to his four-game hit streak. Over the course of his last five outings, he has a batting average of .211 with two homers.
- Jose Miranda is batting .224 with an OBP of .281 and a slugging percentage of .320 this season.
Guardians Key Hitters
- Jose Ramirez has racked up a team-best batting average of .283, while leading the Guardians in home runs (three).
- Ramirez ranks 125th in homers and 64th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
- Ramirez has hit safely in five games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .300 with three walks.
- Steven Kwan is batting .267 with four doubles, a triple, a home run and 21 walks.
- Kwan currently is 255th in homers and 150th in RBI in the major leagues.
- Josh Bell has launched a team-high three homers.
- Andres Gimenez is batting .224 with seven doubles, two home runs and eight walks.
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