MLB betting lines and prop bets provided by ClutchBet Sportsbook
Betting the Run Line, Moneyline and Over/Under
- When: Thursday, June 1, 2023 at 1:10 PM ET
- Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
- How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
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| Run Line | Total | Moneyline | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -1.5 (+141) | O 8.5 (+101) | -119 | |
| Marlins | +1.5 (-166) | U 8.5 (-128) | +101 | |
| Pitching Probables: SD: Musgrove (R) MIA: Luzardo (L) | ||||
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The San Diego Padres (25-30) visit the Miami Marlins (29-27) Thursday to close out a three-game series. The Padres are favored (-119) to win the rubber match, which starts at 1:10 PM ET from LoanDepot park. San Diego’s Joe Musgrove and Miami’s Jesus Luzardo have been named the starters for this contest.
Padres vs. Marlins 2023 Key Stats
- The Padres are the 24th-highest scoring team in baseball averaging 4.1 runs per game (224 total).
- The Padres average 1.2 home runs per game to rank 13th in MLB action with 64 total home runs.
- San Diego has the second-worst batting average in MLB (.219).
- The Padres are 22nd in MLB with a .313 on-base percentage.
- San Diego’s .380 slugging percentage is the fifth-lowest average in baseball.
- The Marlins have scored the 27th-most runs in the league this season with just 209 (3.7 per game).
- Miami has hit 54 homers this season, which ranks 24th in the majors.
- The Marlins rank eighth in MLB with a .258 team batting average.
- Miami has an on-base percentage of .319 this season, which ranks 18th in the majors.
- The Marlins are 19th in MLB with a slugging percentage of .396 this season.
| Padres | Marlins | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.1 | 3.7 | |
| 23 | 28 | |
| 4.1 | 4.5 | |
| 6 | 14 | |
| .219 | .258 | |
| 29 | 8 | |
| .237 | .248 | |
| 7 | 18 | |
| 64 | 54 | |
| 13 | 24 | |
| 59 | 63 | |
| 10 | 15 |
Padres vs. Marlins Betting The Run Line & Moneyline
- The Padres have been favored on the moneyline 28 total times this season. They’ve gone 13-15 in those games.
- San Diego has a record of 12-12 when it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -119 or shorter (50% winning percentage).
- Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Padres’ implied win probability is 54.3%.
- San Diego has played in 43 games with set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 12 times (12-31-0).
- The Padres have put together a 20-23-0 record ATS this season.
- This season, the Marlins have won 13 out of the 23 games, or 56.5%, in which they’ve been the underdog.
- This season, Miami has won 10 of its 20 games, or 50%, when it’s the underdog by at least +101 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 49.8% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
- So far this season, Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 19 of its 42 games with a total.
- In 44 games with a spread this season, the Marlins are 18-26-0 ATS.
| Joe Musgrove (SD) | Pitcher | Jesús Luzardo (MIA) |
|---|---|---|
| 2 – 2 | W/L | 4 – 3 |
| 30.1 | IP | 61.1 |
| 5.64 | ERA | 3.67 |
| 1.451 | WHIP | 1.386 |
| 9.2 | K/9 | 10.3 |
| 2.7 | BB/9 | 2.8 |
Padres Key Hitters
- Juan Soto leads San Diego in home runs with 10, runs batted in with 26 and his batting average of .263 is also best on his team.
- Among all hitters in Major League Baseball, Soto’s home run total places him 36th and his RBI tally places him 77th.
- Xander Bogaerts is batting .257 with an OBP of .346 and a slugging percentage of .396 this season.
- Bogaerts is 83rd in MLB in home runs, and 147th in RBI.
- Bogaerts will look to extend his two-game hit streak. In his last five outings, he’s batting .294.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has collected 36 base hits, an OBP of .290 and a slugging percentage of .453 this season.
- Jake Cronenworth has collected 39 hits this season and has an OBP of .326. He’s slugging .374 on the year.
Marlins Key Hitters
- Jorge Soler paces the Marlins in home runs (17) and runs batted in (35).
- Soler’s home run total ranks third in the big leagues, and he is 28th in RBI.
- Luis Arraez has a club-leading .381 batting average.
- Arraez ranks 316th overall in homers and 147th in RBI this year.
- Arraez heads into this game on a six-game hitting streak. In his last 10 games he is batting .351 with a double, four walks and five RBI.
- Bryan De La Cruz is hitting .296 with 10 doubles, seven home runs and 16 walks.
- Yuli Gurriel has four doubles, two triples, three home runs and 13 walks while hitting .282.
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