NCAA betting lines, odds and prop bets provided by ClutchBet Sportsbook
Betting the Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under
- Date: Saturday, November 4, 2023
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Channel: SEC Network
- City: Starkville, Mississippi
- Venue: Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky | -5.5 (+117) | O 45.5 (-113) | -161 |
| Mississippi State | +5.5 (-142) | U 45.5 (-112) | +131 |
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The Kentucky Wildcats (5-3) are the favorites — expected to win by at least a field goal, but less than a touchdown (currently -5.5) — versus the Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-4) in a battle of two conference rivals. An over/under of 45.5 points has been established for the matchup.
In their last outing, the Wildcats fell to the Tennessee Volunteers 33-27. The Bulldogs’ most recent game finished in a 27-13 loss to the Auburn Tigers.
We’ve compiled all the details you need for the upcoming game ahead—from betting trends to key stats and more.
Kentucky vs. Mississippi State Key Stats
- Kentucky has averaged 4.9 more points this season (30.8) than Mississippi State has allowed (25.9).
- When it exceeds what Mississippi State gives up this season (25.9 points per game), Kentucky is 5-1 and 1-1 against the spread.
- When the Bulldogs defense allows fewer than 30.8 points, Mississippi State has accumulated a 4-1 overall record and a 1-2 record against the spread.
- Mississippi State puts up 25.1 points per game, comparable to the 24.8 Kentucky surrenders.
- Mississippi State is 0-2 against the spread and 3-1 overall in games when it scores more than 24.8 points.
- This year Kentucky is 0-0 against the spread and 4-0 overall when it holds opponents to fewer than 25.1 points.
Here are a few more need-to-know figures from this season:
| Kentucky | Mississippi State | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Yards Avg. (Rank) | 363.8 (91) | 350.4 (96) |
| Def. Yards Avg. (Rank) | 363.4 (57) | 373.4 (62) |
| Rush Yards Avg. (Rank) | 145.1 (81) | 152.6 (71) |
| Pass Yards Avg. (Rank) | 218.6 (81) | 197.8 (103) |
| Turnovers (Rank) | 10 (47) | 9 (33) |
| Takeaways (Rank) | 11 (69) | 10 (78) |
Kentucky vs. Mississippi State Betting the Spread & Over/Under
- Together, the two teams combine for 55.9 points per game, 10.4 points more than the point total of 45.5 for this game.
- This matchup’s total is 5.2 fewer points than the 50.7 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2023.
- Kentucky has won just one game against the spread this season.
- Mississippi State has covered just once in seven games with a spread this year.
- Kentucky has covered the spread when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites in their only opportunity this season.
- Mississippi State has not covered the spread when an underdog by 5.5 points or more this season (in four opportunities).
- Spread Prediction: NA
- Over/Under Prediction: NA
Let’s snag a peek at how both teams have fared against the spread, over/under, and moneyline this season:
| ATS Record | Over/Under/Push | ML Favorite Record | ML Underdog Record | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky | 1-3-0 | 5-1-0 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Mississippi State | 1-5-0 | 4-2-0 | 2-0 | 1-4 |
Kentucky Statistical Leaders
- Devin Leary has put up 1,749 passing yards (218.6 per game) with a 56.8% completion percentage (134-for-236) while throwing 16 touchdowns and seven interceptions.
- Re’Mahn Davis has churned out a team-high 823 rushing yards (102.9 per game) and nine scores. He has added 18 receptions for 221 yards and five TDs.
- So far this season Jutahn McClain has run for 138 yards (17.3 per game), with one touchdown.
- Dane Key has been targeted 43 times and has 24 catches, leading his team with 395 yards (49.4 ypg) while also scoring three touchdowns.
- Tayvion Robinson has tacked on 371 yards, on 26 catches plus three touchdowns. He averages 46.4 receiving yards per game.
- Barion Brown has 334 receiving yards on 28 receptions (55 targets), with two touchdowns, averaging 41.8 yards per game.
- This season Deone Walker leads the team with 4.5 sacks and has added 7.0 TFL and 27 tackles.
- This season D’Eryk Jackson has totaled 51 tackles, 3.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception, leading his team in tackles.
- This season Maxwell Hairston leads the team with five interceptions and has added 39 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and five passes defended.
Mississippi State Statistical Leaders
- Will Rogers has passed for 1,275 yards (105-of-171), with 10 touchdowns and four interceptions (159.4 yards per game).
- Jo’Quavious Marks has taken 97 carries for a team-leading 500 rushing yards (62.5 per game) while scoring four touchdowns. He’s also caught 18 passes for 138 yards (17.3 receiving yards per game) with one touchdown through the air.
- So far this year Michael Wright has run for 261 yards on 45 carries (32.6 yards per game), with three touchdowns.
- This year Lideatrick Griffin has 35 receptions for a team-high 512 yards (64.0 per game) and three touchdowns.
- Zavion Thomas’ stat line this year shows 21 catches for 266 yards and one touchdown. He puts up 33.3 receiving yards per game.
- Justin Robinson has totaled 184 yards on 14 receptions, averaging 23.0 yards per game.
- This season Nathaniel Watson leads the team with 7.5 sacks and has added 7.0 TFL, 63 tackles, and one interception.
- Jett Johnson’s 67 tackles, 7.0 TFL, four sacks, and two interceptions mean he’s the team’s top tackler.
- Shawn Preston Jr. has picked off three passes to lead the team while adding 27 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and three passes defended.
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