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Betting the Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under
- Date: Saturday, October 28, 2023
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Channel: ESPN+
- City: San Marcos, Texas
- Venue: Jim Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Troy | -5.5 (-117) | O 52.5 (-112) | -222 |
| Texas State | +5.5 (-104) | U 52.5 (-113) | +178 |
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The Troy Trojans (5-2) carry the No. 17 scoring defense in college football into a contest versus the Texas State Bobcats (5-2), featuring the No. 11 offense, on Saturday, October 28, 2023. The Trojans are 5.5-point favorites. The predicted point total for the game is 52.5.
The Trojans knocked off the Army Black Knights 19-0 in their most recent outing. Their last time out, the Bobcats won 21-20 over the UL Monroe Warhawks.
We’ve got all the details you need for the upcoming game below—from betting trends to key stats and more.
Troy vs. Texas State Key Stats
- Texas State’s defense has allowed 28.4 points per game this season, about the same as the 26.6 Troy has scored.
- In games where Troy scores over 28.4 points, it is 2-0 overall and 1-0 against the spread.
- When the Bobcats defense allows fewer than 26.6 points, Texas State has put together a 2-1 overall record and a 0-2 record against the spread.
- This year Texas State averages 20.9 more points per game (38.3) than Troy surrenders (17.4).
- Texas State is 1-2 against the spread and 5-1 overall in games when it records more than 17.4 points.
- This year Troy is 2-2 against the spread and 5-1 overall when it holds opponents to less than 38.3 points.
Below are a few more important stats from this season:
| Troy | Texas State | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Yards Avg. (Rank) | 444.7 (34) | 477.1 (20) |
| Def. Yards Avg. (Rank) | 281.6 (8) | 409.6 (91) |
| Rush Yards Avg. (Rank) | 185.6 (31) | 208.7 (15) |
| Pass Yards Avg. (Rank) | 259.1 (44) | 268.4 (37) |
| Turnovers (Rank) | 13 (104) | 11 (81) |
| Takeaways (Rank) | 11 (50) | 11 (50) |
Troy vs. Texas State Betting the Spread & Over/Under
- The over/under for the contest of 52.5 is 12.4 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for Troy (26.6 points per game) and Texas State (38.3 points per game).
- The 45.8 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score on average this season are 6.7 fewer than the 52.5 over/under in this contest.
- Troy has won two games against the spread this season.
- Texas State has won one game against the spread this year.
- Troy has been favored by 5.5 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
- Texas State has covered the spread when playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs in their only opportunity this season.
- Spread Prediction: NA
- Over/Under Prediction: NA
Let’s snag a glance at how both teams have matched up against the spread, over/under, and moneyline this season:
| ATS Record | Over/Under/Push | ML Favorite Record | ML Underdog Record | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy | 2-3-0 | 0-5-0 | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Texas State | 1-2-0 | 2-2-0 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
Troy Statistical Leaders
- This season Gunnar Watson has 1,765 passing yards (252.1 yards per game) while going 123-for-207 (59.4%) and connecting on 11 touchdowns with four interceptions.
- Kimani Vidal has 154 attempts for a team-leading 951 rushing yards (135.9 per game) and six touchdowns. He also has 10 catches for 140 receiving yards (20.0 per game) and one touchdown.
- So far this season Damien Taylor has rushed for 242 yards (34.6 per game), with one touchdown.
- Jabre Barber has grabbed 29 passes for a team best 455 yards and two touchdowns. He averages 65.0 receiving yards per game.
- Chris Lewis has also tacked on 15 catches for 363 yards and four touchdowns. He has been targeted 33 times and puts up 51.9 receiving yards per game.
- Deshon Stoudemire is averaging 44.0 yards per game, racking up 23 receptions (30 targets) for 308 yards.
- This season Javon Solomon leads the team with 5.5 sacks and has added 4.0 TFL and 22 tackles.
- Jayden McDonald’s 42 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and one sack make him the team’s top tackler.
- Reddy Steward has intercepted two passes to lead the team while adding 20 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and two passes defended.
Texas State Statistical Leaders
- TJ Finley has 1,842 passing yards (263.1 per game) and a 68.9% completion percentage, throwing 14 touchdown passes and three interceptions.
- Ismail Mahdi has rushed for a team-high 726 yards on 98 attempts (103.7 yards per game) and eight touchdowns.
- So far this year Donerio Davenport has rushed for 223 yards on 51 carries (31.9 yards per game), with one touchdown.
- Joey Hobert has been targeted 64 times and has 48 catches, leading his team with 612 yards (87.4 per game) while hauling in six touchdowns.
- Ashtyn Hawkins has been targeted 52 times, and tacked on 395 yards (on 31 catches) and one touchdown.
- Kole Wilson is averaging 53.3 yards per game, with 30 catches for 373 yards and four touchdowns.
- Ben Bell has 3.0 sacks to lead the team, and has also racked up 7.0 TFL and 30 tackles.
- Over the current campaign, Brian Holloway has totaled 54 tackles, 8.0 TFL, 0.5 sacks, and one interception and leads the team in tackles.
- Tory Spears has picked off one pass to lead the team while adding 19 tackles and one pass defended.
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